心理学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (2): 155-169.doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1041.2021.00155
骆方1, 姜力铭1, 田雪涛2, 肖梦格1, 马彦珍3, 张生3()
收稿日期:
2020-04-22
发布日期:
2020-12-29
出版日期:
2021-02-25
通讯作者:
张生
E-mail:zhangsheng@bnu.edu.cn
基金资助:
LUO Fang1, JIANG Liming1, TIAN Xuetao2, XIAO Mengge1, MA Yanzhen3, ZHANG Sheng3()
Received:
2020-04-22
Online:
2020-12-29
Published:
2021-02-25
Contact:
ZHANG Sheng
E-mail:zhangsheng@bnu.edu.cn
摘要:
收集在线教学平台上1306名小学生的作文、日记及评论, 采用自然语言处理技术进行文本分析, 并应用机器学习模型实现对羞怯特质的自动预测, 构建小学生羞怯行为、认知和情绪的语言风格模型。研究发现:(1)扩充的心理词典适合分析小学生文本; (2)分别存在羞怯行为、认知和情绪问题的学生其日常用语既有共性也有特性, 且与普通学生存在差异; (3)羞怯各维度在不同分类器上达到较好的预测效果, 其中随机森林模型的整体表现相对最好。
中图分类号:
骆方, 姜力铭, 田雪涛, 肖梦格, 马彦珍, 张生. (2021). 小学生羞怯特质预测及语言风格模型构建. 心理学报, 53(2), 155-169.
LUO Fang, JIANG Liming, TIAN Xuetao, XIAO Mengge, MA Yanzhen, ZHANG Sheng. (2021). Shyness prediction and language style model construction of elementary school students. Acta Psychologica Sinica, 53(2), 155-169.
样本数 | 羞怯行为 | 羞怯认知 | 羞怯情绪 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | |
训练样本数 | 138 | 907 | 228 | 817 | 176 | 869 |
测试样本数 | 38 | 223 | 53 | 208 | 41 | 220 |
表1 训练集及测试集划分
样本数 | 羞怯行为 | 羞怯认知 | 羞怯情绪 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | 是 | 否 | |
训练样本数 | 138 | 907 | 228 | 817 | 176 | 869 |
测试样本数 | 38 | 223 | 53 | 208 | 41 | 220 |
实际属于羞怯群体 | 实际属于普通群体 | |
---|---|---|
分类后属于羞怯群体 | TP | FP |
分类属于普通群体 | FN | TN |
表2 模型分类结果及数据的实际分布
实际属于羞怯群体 | 实际属于普通群体 | |
---|---|---|
分类后属于羞怯群体 | TP | FP |
分类属于普通群体 | FN | TN |
变量 | 教师评分- 羞怯行为 | 教师评分- 羞怯认知 | 教师评分- 羞怯情绪 | 教师评分-总分 |
---|---|---|---|---|
学生自评- 羞怯行为 | 0.205 | 0.514 | 0.419 | 0.415 |
学生自评- 羞怯认知 | -0.170 | 0.213 | -0.092 | -0.008 |
学生自评- 羞怯情绪 | 0.067 | 0.332 | 0.084 | 0.181 |
学生自评- 总分 | 0.058 | 0.421 | 0.161 | 0.239 |
表3 教师评分与学生自评的相关
变量 | 教师评分- 羞怯行为 | 教师评分- 羞怯认知 | 教师评分- 羞怯情绪 | 教师评分-总分 |
---|---|---|---|---|
学生自评- 羞怯行为 | 0.205 | 0.514 | 0.419 | 0.415 |
学生自评- 羞怯认知 | -0.170 | 0.213 | -0.092 | -0.008 |
学生自评- 羞怯情绪 | 0.067 | 0.332 | 0.084 | 0.181 |
学生自评- 总分 | 0.058 | 0.421 | 0.161 | 0.239 |
维度 | 样本量 | 样本 比例 | 最低词 汇总量 | 最高词 汇总量 | 词汇总 量均值 | 词汇总量标准差 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
羞怯行为 | ||||||
是(1) | 281 | 21.52% | 62 | 353086 | 7338.62 | 21711.80 |
否(0) | 1025 | 78.48% | 78 | 292321 | 10114.79 | 31150.93 |
羞怯认知 | ||||||
是(1) | 176 | 13.48% | 137 | 152657 | 6056.41 | 12702.45 |
否(0) | 1130 | 86.52% | 62 | 353086 | 8227.89 | 25375.75 |
羞怯情绪 | ||||||
是(1) | 217 | 16.62% | 95 | 199348 | 7957.13 | 21606.92 |
否(0) | 1089 | 83.38% | 62 | 353086 | 7931.17 | 24538.95 |
表4 描述统计结果汇总
维度 | 样本量 | 样本 比例 | 最低词 汇总量 | 最高词 汇总量 | 词汇总 量均值 | 词汇总量标准差 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
羞怯行为 | ||||||
是(1) | 281 | 21.52% | 62 | 353086 | 7338.62 | 21711.80 |
否(0) | 1025 | 78.48% | 78 | 292321 | 10114.79 | 31150.93 |
羞怯认知 | ||||||
是(1) | 176 | 13.48% | 137 | 152657 | 6056.41 | 12702.45 |
否(0) | 1130 | 86.52% | 62 | 353086 | 8227.89 | 25375.75 |
羞怯情绪 | ||||||
是(1) | 217 | 16.62% | 95 | 199348 | 7957.13 | 21606.92 |
否(0) | 1089 | 83.38% | 62 | 353086 | 7931.17 | 24538.95 |
羞怯行为 | 羞怯认知 | 羞怯情绪 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
词类 | 含义 | 方向 | c2(1) | 词类 | 含义 | 方向 | c2(1) | 词类 | 含义 | 方向 | c2(1) |
C111 | 每句平均词数 | - | 534.36 | C111 | 每句平均词数 | - | 534.36 | C111 | 每句平均词数 | - | 534.36 |
C33 | 社会历程词 | - | 159.70 | C33 | 社会历程词 | - | 579.58 | C33 | 社会历程词 | - | 293.28 |
C34 | 家人词 | - | 377.82 | C34 | 家人词 | - | 274.53 | C34 | 家人词 | - | 236.62 |
C28 | 口语词 | + | 146.82 | C28 | 口语词 | - | 300.67 | C28 | 口语词 | - | 131.76 |
C32 | 填充赘词 | + | 143.77 | C32 | 填充赘词 | - | 331.44 | C32 | 填充赘词 | - | 100.69 |
C67 | 知历程词 | + | 421.76 | C67 | 认知历程词 | - | 301.68 | C67 | 认知历程词 | - | 270.85 |
C5 | 第一人称复数代名词 | + | 152.95 | C5 | 第一人称复数代名词 | - | 406.14 | C3 | 特定人称代名词 | - | 132.93 |
C6 | 第二人称代名词 | - | 276.34 | C2 | 代名词 | - | 256.97 | C74 | 包含词 | - | 225.94 |
C31 | 停顿赘词 | + | 163.20 | C3 | 特定人称代名词 | - | 334.49 | C69 | 因果词 | + | 112.08 |
C72 | 确切词 | + | 204.60 | C74 | 包含词 | - | 121.67 | C1 | 功能词 | - | 270.38 |
C75 | 排除词 | + | 144.94 | C75 | 排除词 | - | 243.69 | C22 | 语助词 | - | 116.55 |
C69 | 因果词 | + | 228.00 | C15 | 连接词 | - | 126.65 | C11 | 动词 | - | 334.79 |
C1 | 功能词 | + | 359.20 | C90 | 成就词 | + | 118.25 | C91 | 休闲词 | - | 271.43 |
C13 | 副词 | + | 315.86 | C85 | 相对词 | + | 104.50 | C23 | 时态标定词 | - | 319.35 |
C15 | 连接词 | + | 574.02 | C87 | 空间词 | + | 226.83 | C27 | 延续 | - | 334.47 |
C91 | 休闲词 | - | 307.10 | C94 | 宗教词 | - | 332.24 | C85 | 相对词 | - | 424.11 |
C98 | 动物词 | - | 477.33 | C88 | 时间词 | - | 174.19 | ||||
C24 | 过去 | + | 113.93 | C86 | 移动词 | - | 367.58 | ||||
C89 | 工作词 | + | 270.43 | C80 | 生理历程词 | - | 111.72 | ||||
C76 | 感知历程词 | - | 340.46 | C84 | 摄食词 | - | 126.11 | ||||
C77 | 视觉词 | - | 309.74 | ||||||||
C78 | 听觉词 | - | 204.74 | ||||||||
C94 | 宗教词 | + | 139.86 |
表5 各维度提取特征
羞怯行为 | 羞怯认知 | 羞怯情绪 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
词类 | 含义 | 方向 | c2(1) | 词类 | 含义 | 方向 | c2(1) | 词类 | 含义 | 方向 | c2(1) |
C111 | 每句平均词数 | - | 534.36 | C111 | 每句平均词数 | - | 534.36 | C111 | 每句平均词数 | - | 534.36 |
C33 | 社会历程词 | - | 159.70 | C33 | 社会历程词 | - | 579.58 | C33 | 社会历程词 | - | 293.28 |
C34 | 家人词 | - | 377.82 | C34 | 家人词 | - | 274.53 | C34 | 家人词 | - | 236.62 |
C28 | 口语词 | + | 146.82 | C28 | 口语词 | - | 300.67 | C28 | 口语词 | - | 131.76 |
C32 | 填充赘词 | + | 143.77 | C32 | 填充赘词 | - | 331.44 | C32 | 填充赘词 | - | 100.69 |
C67 | 知历程词 | + | 421.76 | C67 | 认知历程词 | - | 301.68 | C67 | 认知历程词 | - | 270.85 |
C5 | 第一人称复数代名词 | + | 152.95 | C5 | 第一人称复数代名词 | - | 406.14 | C3 | 特定人称代名词 | - | 132.93 |
C6 | 第二人称代名词 | - | 276.34 | C2 | 代名词 | - | 256.97 | C74 | 包含词 | - | 225.94 |
C31 | 停顿赘词 | + | 163.20 | C3 | 特定人称代名词 | - | 334.49 | C69 | 因果词 | + | 112.08 |
C72 | 确切词 | + | 204.60 | C74 | 包含词 | - | 121.67 | C1 | 功能词 | - | 270.38 |
C75 | 排除词 | + | 144.94 | C75 | 排除词 | - | 243.69 | C22 | 语助词 | - | 116.55 |
C69 | 因果词 | + | 228.00 | C15 | 连接词 | - | 126.65 | C11 | 动词 | - | 334.79 |
C1 | 功能词 | + | 359.20 | C90 | 成就词 | + | 118.25 | C91 | 休闲词 | - | 271.43 |
C13 | 副词 | + | 315.86 | C85 | 相对词 | + | 104.50 | C23 | 时态标定词 | - | 319.35 |
C15 | 连接词 | + | 574.02 | C87 | 空间词 | + | 226.83 | C27 | 延续 | - | 334.47 |
C91 | 休闲词 | - | 307.10 | C94 | 宗教词 | - | 332.24 | C85 | 相对词 | - | 424.11 |
C98 | 动物词 | - | 477.33 | C88 | 时间词 | - | 174.19 | ||||
C24 | 过去 | + | 113.93 | C86 | 移动词 | - | 367.58 | ||||
C89 | 工作词 | + | 270.43 | C80 | 生理历程词 | - | 111.72 | ||||
C76 | 感知历程词 | - | 340.46 | C84 | 摄食词 | - | 126.11 | ||||
C77 | 视觉词 | - | 309.74 | ||||||||
C78 | 听觉词 | - | 204.74 | ||||||||
C94 | 宗教词 | + | 139.86 |
维度 | 决策树 | 随机森林 | 逻辑斯蒂克回归 | K近邻 | 多层感知机 | 支持向量机 | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | |
准确率-普通 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.79 | 0.84 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.87 |
准确率-羞怯 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.28 | 0.23 |
召回率-普通 | 0.86 | 0.75 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 0.92 | 0.90 | 0.99 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 0.63 | 0.89 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
召回率-羞怯 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.44 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
F1值-普通 | 0.86 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.89 | 0.67 | 0.76 | 0.92 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0.91 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
F1值-羞怯 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
总F1值 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
表6 模型预测结果
维度 | 决策树 | 随机森林 | 逻辑斯蒂克回归 | K近邻 | 多层感知机 | 支持向量机 | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | |
准确率-普通 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.79 | 0.84 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.87 |
准确率-羞怯 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.28 | 0.23 |
召回率-普通 | 0.86 | 0.75 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 0.92 | 0.90 | 0.99 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 0.63 | 0.89 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
召回率-羞怯 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.44 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
F1值-普通 | 0.86 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.89 | 0.67 | 0.76 | 0.92 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0.91 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
F1值-羞怯 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
总F1值 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
维度 | 第一次 | 第二次 | 第三次 | 第四次 | 第五次 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | |
准确率-普通 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.78 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.79 | 0.85 |
准确率-羞怯 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.18 |
召回率-普通 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.87 | 0.96 | 0.76 | 0.7 | 0.87 | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.82 | 0.62 |
召回率-羞怯 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.44 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.4 | 0.43 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.44 |
F1值-普通 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.81 | 0.80 | 0.72 |
F1值-羞怯 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.26 |
总F1值 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.52 |
表7 随机森林模型交叉验证结果
维度 | 第一次 | 第二次 | 第三次 | 第四次 | 第五次 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | 行为 | 认知 | 情绪 | |
准确率-普通 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.78 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.79 | 0.85 |
准确率-羞怯 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.18 |
召回率-普通 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.87 | 0.96 | 0.76 | 0.7 | 0.87 | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.82 | 0.62 |
召回率-羞怯 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.44 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.4 | 0.43 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.44 |
F1值-普通 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.81 | 0.80 | 0.72 |
F1值-羞怯 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.26 |
总F1值 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.52 |
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