ISSN 1671-3710
CN 11-4766/R
主办:中国科学院心理研究所
出版:科学出版社

心理科学进展 ›› 2027, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (1): 101-118.doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1042.2027.0101 cstr: 32111.14.2027.0101

• 研究方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

理解时间与变化: 质性纵向研究的理论、方法及前瞻

王广新, 熊艳, 秦俪轩, 尚佳一, 袁晨曦, 索欣怡, 刘佳怡   

  1. 北京林业大学人文社会科学学院心理学系, 北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:2025-12-23 出版日期:2027-01-15 发布日期:2026-11-06
  • 通讯作者: 王广新, E-mail: wgx8868@163.com

Understanding time and change: Theory, method and future direction for qualitative longitudinal research

WANG Guangxin, XIONG Yan, QIN Lixuan, SHANG Jiayi, YUAN Chenxi, SUO Xinyi, LIU Jiayi   

  1. Psychology Department, School of Humanistic and Social Science, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2025-12-23 Online:2027-01-15 Published:2026-11-06

摘要: 质性纵向研究(Qualitative Longitudinal Research, QLR)通过对同一组参与者的历时性追踪, 将“时间”与“变化”从静态背景提升为动态分析的核心焦点, 从而系统揭示个体在生命历程、心理认知与社会实践中的演变过程。然而, 如何将“时间与变化”有效转化为可设计、可收集、可分析、可评估的研究过程仍有待系统回应。围绕这一问题, 本文系统梳理了QLR的理论、方法和技术, 指出其通过前瞻性追踪设计, 重复深度访谈与参与式观察等数据收集手段, 结合三链分析、轨迹分析等数据分析技术, 旨在揭示个体意义随时间重构的过程, 刻画变化的非线性轨迹与关键转折点。当前, QLR仍面临样本流失、数据管理困难等挑战; 未来可整合数字痕迹挖掘与纵向混合设计, 构建更具解释力的分析框架。QLR为理解心理适应、危机干预及生命历程等动态过程, 提供了兼具深度与情境敏感性的研究路径。

关键词: 质性纵向研究, 时间性, 变化机制

Abstract: Qualitative Longitudinal Research (QLR) has emerged as a distinctive framework that places time, its passage, and the process of change itself at the analytical center. By prospectively and repeatedly collecting qualitative data—such as in-depth interviews and participant observation—from the same participants or settings, QLR aims to track how individual experiences, meanings, and behaviors unfold, shift, and take shape over time. Its central purpose is to reveal the underlying mechanisms through which specific phenomena evolve. Three defining features distinguish QLR: centering “time and change” as the analytical core, employing prospective tracking and recursive data generation, and committing to uncovering the processual mechanisms of change.
To clarify QLR's unique position, it is useful to distinguish it from quantitative longitudinal and cross-sectional research. Unlike quantitative longitudinal research, which pursues statistical inference and causal modeling with large samples, QLR uses in-depth qualitative data to reveal the subjective meanings, contextual mechanisms, and non-linear trajectories that underlie change. Compared with cross-sectional research (whether quantitative or qualitative), QLR moves beyond snapshot descriptions at a single time point. Instead, it takes the “process of change” itself as the core analytical object through prospective and recursive data collection across multiple waves.
The theoretical contribution of QLR lies in its advancement of the conceptualization of temporality. Moving beyond the conventional view of time as a linear, measurable background, QLR integrates “fixed time” (Chronos)—the institutional, measurable intervals that provide the structural skeleton for research design—with “fluid time”(Kairos)—the subjective, context-bound experiences of tempo, rhythm, and critical moments. Rather than treating these as binary opposites, QLR creatively synthesizes them through recursive data collection strategies, effectively turning “time itself into data.” Furthermore, QLR employs nested temporal analysis to reveal the dynamic co-construction between micro-level individual life courses and macro-level socio-historical processes. Key conceptual tools for decoding temporality include sequence, rhythm, periodicity, and non-linear turning points, enabling researchers to dissect the complex temporal texture of lived experience.
In terms of research practice, this paper provides a systematic integration of QLR data collection and analysis. Core data collection strategies include repeated recursive interviewing, in which participants reflect on prior statements across waves, and visual tools such as timeline drawing and Photo-voice, which are repeatedly employed to make change visible and dialogically accessible over time. For analysis, the paper elaborates two signature techniques: recurrent cross-sectional analysis, which compares group-level thematic shifts across time points while retaining flexibility in sample composition, and trajectory analysis, which maps individual or small-group change pathways in depth to identify non-linear patterns, critical transitions, and underlying mechanisms. The “three-strand analysis” framework is also explicated, requiring researchers to simultaneously track themes, individual cases, and temporal flows.
Regarding research quality, this paper proposes a time-sensitive evaluation framework grounded in the credibility and depth of interpretations of “change.” Beyond general qualitative criteria—credibility, transferability, confirmability, and transparency—QLR requires attention to specific temporal indicators, including sustained engagement, temporal sensitivity, and dynamic theoretical saturation. Recognizing the inherently fluid nature of QLR phenomena, the paper introduces the concept of “period-specific saturation” as a pragmatic and defensible endpoint for theory construction within bounded research cycles. This approach acknowledges the provisional yet rigorous nature of theoretical claims developed in dialogue with unfolding time.
Finally, the paper discusses future directions, including the temporal integration of mixed methods, technological enhancements such as digital trace mining and natural language processing, and the application of QLR within the Chinese psychological context. By situating QLR within indigenous research on psychological adaptation, cultural value transmission, and intervention processes, this paper calls for culturally sensitive analytical tools that capture relational and familial time. In sum, QLR offers a powerful, systematic pathway for moving beyond static snapshots, enabling researchers to dynamically theorize how psychological life is generated, sustained, and transformed in and through time.

Key words: qualitative longitudinal research, temporal dimension, mechanisms of change

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