关键词: 直觉决策, 指挥员, 决策的双系统理论, 再认启动决策模型, 美军作战条令

Abstract: Intuitive decision-making is an unconcisous process based on decision-makers’ experiences. The characteristics of volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity in the modern war require commanders to utilize their intuition in the battlefield to make quick decisions. On the influences of dual-processing decision theory and of recognition-primed decision model, the U.S. Army began to emphasize the role of intuition in operation plan productions in the late 1980s. Specifically, Army institutions actively explored methods to cultivate commanders’ intuition. Meanwhile, concepts of intuitive decision-making were gradually reflected in the U.S. Army doctrines. Existing results from U.S Army not only revealed the inner psychological mechanism of intuition decision making based on experiences, but also enlightened us to cultivate excellent commander suitable for the future war.

Key words: intuitive decision-making, commander, dual-processing decision theory, recognition-primed decision model, U.S. Army doctrine