ISSN 1671-3710
CN 11-4766/R
主办:中国科学院心理研究所
出版:科学出版社

心理科学进展 ›› 2012, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (7): 1068-1079.

• 研究前沿 • 上一篇    下一篇

行为决策研究的新取向—— 基于经验的决策

刘腾飞;徐富明;马红宇;马向阳;吴修良   

  1. (青少年网络心理与行为教育部重点实验室;
    华中师范大学心理学院暨湖北省人的发展与心理健康重点实验室, 武汉 430079)
  • 收稿日期:2011-06-28 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2012-07-15 发布日期:2012-07-15
  • 通讯作者: 徐富明

The New Orientation of Behavioral Decision Making:
Experience-based Decision Making

LIU Teng-Fei;XU Fu-Ming;MA Hong-Yu;MA Xiang-Yang;WU Xiu-Liang   

  1. (Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education;
    School of Psychology, Central China Normal University; Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, Wuhan 430079, China)
  • Received:2011-06-28 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2012-07-15 Published:2012-07-15
  • Contact: XU Fu-Ming

摘要: 基于经验的决策是指, 在统计概率情境中, 个体通过重复选择与反馈获得选项的收益分布信息后进行的决策。基于经验的决策的研究范式主要包括探索-利用范式和探索→利用范式。其暗含的决策人假设是朴素直觉统计学家。其研究关注的主要内容是描述—经验的差异及其原因, 以及基于经验的决策内部过程。未来的研究主要从描述—经验差异的原因、描述性决策范式下的结论的重新检验、基于经验的决策的解释模型及其应用研究等方面进行探讨。

关键词: 经验, 决策, 基于经验的决策, 基于描述的决策, 描述—经验差异

Abstract: Experience-based decision making refers to the choice that the individual obtains payoff distribution by repetition and feedback in the context of statistical probability. The paradigm of experience-based decision making includes exploration to exploit paradigm and exploration and exploit paradigm. The implicated decision-maker hypothesis is naïve intuitive statistician. Following this approach, focuses on description-experience gap and its reasons, and also concerns experience-based inner decision processes. Finally, the issues worthy of further research were also outlined, such as description-experience gap and its causes, the model and the application of experience-based decision making.

Key words: experience, decision making, experience-based decision making, description-based decision making, description-experience gap