ISSN 1671-3710
CN 11-4766/R
主办:中国科学院心理研究所
出版:科学出版社

›› 2006, Vol. 14 ›› Issue (3): 468-474.

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“Overconfidence” and Its Cross-Cultural Variation

Yu Yao,Li Shu   

  1. Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
  • Received:2005-09-26 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-05-15 Published:2006-05-15
  • Contact: Li Shu

Abstract: Overconfidence refers to that subjects’ average probability judgments exceed the proportions of items they answer correctly over a wide range of conditions. A series of cross-cultural researches indicate that respondents in Asian cultures (e.g., Chinese) are more risk-seeking and more overconfident than respondents in other cultures (e.g., in United States) and that the reciprocal predictions are in total opposition. This paper presents recent researches on overconfidence from traditional and alternative frameworks. The implications for cross-cultural variations in overconfidence were discussed

Key words: probability judgment, overconfidence, cross-cultural variation

CLC Number: