ISSN 1671-3710
CN 11-4766/R

›› 2010, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (8): 1246-1255.

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Affective Forecasting Biases and Related Studies

LIU Cong-Hui;ZHANG Yao-Hua;YU Guo-Liang   

  1. (1Department of Psychology, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)
    (2Institute of Psychology, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)
    (3State Key Laboratory of Cognitive Neuroscience and Learning, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China)
  • Received:2009-11-03 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2010-08-15 Published:2010-08-15
  • Contact: YU Guo-Liang

Abstract: Affective forecasting refers to the prediction of one’s emotional state in the future. This kind of prediction is affected by various kinds of cognitive biases, i.e. immune neglect, focalism and empathy gap. This article integrated the causes of these cognitive biases from the point of view of cognitive-experiential self theory and mental simulation, introduced individual differences and interventions of affective forecasting biases. In the end, the possible trends for the future research focus on psychology-behavior mechanism, evolutionary and brain mechanism of affective forecasting.

Key words: affective forecasting, bias, cognitive–experiential self theory, mental simulation