ISSN 1671-3710
CN 11-4766/R
主办：中国科学院心理研究所
出版：科学出版社

心理科学进展 ›› 2013, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (8): 1482-1492.doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1042.2013.01482

• 研究前沿 • 上一篇    下一篇

情感预测中的聚焦错觉

罗寒冰;徐富明;郭永玉;郑秋强;李彬;张慧   

  1. (青少年网络心理与行为教育部重点实验室; 华中师范大学心理学院暨湖北省人的发展与心理健康重点实验室, 武汉 430079)
  • 收稿日期:2012-12-17 出版日期:2013-08-15 发布日期:2013-08-15
  • 通讯作者: 徐富明
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金面上项目“不同社会阶层分配不公平感的归因模式及应对策略” (项目批准号：71171094)资助。

Focusing Illusion in Affective Forecasting

LUO Hanbing;XU Fuming;GUO Yongyu;ZHENG Qiuqiang;LI Bin;ZHANG Hui   

  1. (Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior, Ministry of Education (CCNU); School of Psychology, Central China Normal University; Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, Wuhan 430079, China)
  • Received:2012-12-17 Online:2013-08-15 Published:2013-08-15
  • Contact: XU Fuming

PDF (PC)

2377

被引次数

12

摘要： 聚焦错觉是个体在进行情感预测时, 错误地估计了聚焦事件会对情绪造成影响的一种倾向。聚焦错觉是造成情感预测偏差的重要原因。其心理机制主要包括直觉预测和可得性模型。聚焦错觉的影响因素主要有预测事件的情感效价、性质, 情境因素、个体习惯和文化差异等。其应对策略主要有去焦点化和情感平均。未来的研究应从聚焦错觉与忽视情绪适应的关系、聚焦错觉的产生根源以及聚焦错觉与其他聚焦效应的关系等方面来进一步探讨。

关键词: 聚焦错觉, 直觉预测, 可得性模型, 情感预测

Abstract: Focusing illusion refers to a tendency that individuals fail to estimate how focal event would affect their emotion when they are making an affective forecasting. Focusing illusion is a major explanation for affective forecasting bias. There are two psychological mechanisms of focusing illusion: intuitive prediction and accessibility model. The factors to influence focusing illusion are: valence and feature of the predicted event, context, habit and cultural difference and so on. The strategies to deal with the focusing illusion are: defocusing and affective averaging. Future research shall clarify the relationship between focusing illusion and fail to considerate emotional adaptation, to deepen our understanding of its original roots and to clarify the relationship between focusing illusion and other focusing effects.

Key words: focusing illusion, intuitive prediction, accessibility model, affective forecasting