ISSN 0439-755X
CN 11-1911/B
主办:中国心理学会
   中国科学院心理研究所
出版:科学出版社

心理学报 ›› 2004, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (05): 575-585.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

风险情景中参照点与管理者认知特征

谢晓非,王晓田   

  1. (北京大学心理系,北京 100871) (Dept. of Psychology, University of South Dakota)
  • 收稿日期:2003-09-14 修回日期:1900-01-01 发布日期:2004-09-30 出版日期:2004-09-30
  • 通讯作者: 谢晓非

THE REFERENCE POINTS AND MANAGER’S COGNITIVE CHARACTERISTICS IN RISKY SITUATIONS

Xie Xiaofei, Wang Xiaotian   

  1. (Psychology Department, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China) (Psychology Department, University of South Dakota, Vermillion, SD 57069, USA)
  • Received:2003-09-14 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2004-09-30 Published:2004-09-30
  • Contact: Xie Xiaofei

摘要: 采用问卷测量的方法探讨风险情景以及个性特征对个体风险倾向的影响。结果显示:(1)成就动机的两个成分,即争取成功与回避失败能够分别预测个体在风险情景中的风险倾向与认知特征;争取成功动机对预测个体机会认知更敏感,而回避失败动机对预测威胁认知更有效。(2)回避失败动机是区分个体风险倾向的关键变量,个体在风险情景中的风险倾向取决于个体回避失败动机的强弱。(3)实验证实了当以“成功”为参照点时,回避失败倾向低的个体,在获益情景中更冒险而在损失情景中更保守;相反,回避失败倾向高的个体,在损失情景中更冒险而在获益情景中更保守。研究表明,结合人格和情景两类变量探讨个体风险倾向的反应模式能够更准确地描述个体行为倾向及其认知特征。这一结论提供了一个可能的思路来解释P理论与刻板模式之间的争执。另外,企业与学生样本在数据的总体趋势上存在相当多的一致性,但在细节上仍然存在差异,因此以学生样本数据进行推论时须要特别谨慎。

关键词: 风险情景, 风险认知, 风险倾向

Abstract: This study with the questionnaire methods probed into the influences towards the risk propensities by the risky situations and personalities. The results show: (1) the two components of achievement motives, namely achievement motive and avoidance motive, might predict the risk propensities and the cognitive characteristics of individuals in risky situations; the achievement motive would be more sensitive for measuring the opportunity perceptions, meanwhile the avoidance motive would be a better predictor for measuring the threat perception. (2)The avoidance motive is the key variable to distinguish the risk propensities of individuals, which depends on the intensity of the avoidance motive. (3) This study verified the individuals at low avoidance motives tendency would be more risk-seeking in gain situation while more risk-averse in loss one; by contraries, the individuals at high avoidance motives tendency would be more risk-seeking in loss and more risk-averse in gain, when the goal for success as the reference point. The study manifested to discuss the response model of the individual’s risk propensity combining two kinds of variables would describe the behavior tendency and the cognitive characteristic more accurately. The conclusion provided a thought to explain the dispute between the Prospect theory and the threat-rigidity-model. In addiction, the main tends on samples between the managers and the students were relative consistent, but the differences were still there. So drawing a conclusion from the sample of students should be cautious.

Key words: risky situation, risk perception, risk propensity

中图分类号: